With the 2019-20 season lengthy since within the books, let’s take just a few moments to look again on the efficiency of every member of YOUR Marquette Golden Eagles this 12 months. Whereas we’re at it, we’ll additionally have a look again at our participant previews and see how our preseason prognostications stack up with how issues really performed out. We’ll run by way of the roster so as of complete minutes performed going from lowest to highest, which suggests right this moment we transfer on to the older than you suppose sophomore……
Sophomore – #1 – Ahead – 6’eight” – 200 kilos – Salt Lake Metropolis, Utah
Brendan Bailey Conventional Stats
Brendan Bailey Fancy Stats
*** – Denotes a prime 500 nationwide rating per KenPom.com
As I simply talked about, Brendan will play a ton of minutes as a result of they’ll want him to occupy the minutes. Whereas that basically means he’ll change into Sam Hauser’s substitute, he doesn’t have that very same skillset. Each take glorious care of the ball and may be considerably passive, however Bailey is nowhere close to the shooter that Sam is and really must work on making his shot extra constant.
When you bear in mind the times of Katin Reinhardt, then that’s most likely a greater place to begin for what to anticipate. Brendan seems much more snug placing the ball on the bottom and has glorious physique management round contact, even when he’s not fairly robust sufficient to persistently battle by way of it. That additional mobility ought to give the offense much more flexibility if he’s in a position to enhance on his shot to stretch the ground. He’ll doubtless be the third scorer, at the least at first, behind Markus Howard and Koby McEwen.
On protection, his Elastigirl limbs will let him take the hardest project on each opponent. He closes out on three pointers so effectively, which is vital in a convention the place seemingly each crew shares up on snipers yearly. Even when his offense doesn’t develop as a lot as followers would hope, his versatility on protection shall be sufficient to maintain him within the lineup.
Why You Ought to Get Excited
Alright I’ve held onto my playing cards for lengthy sufficient. When you observe this group effectively sufficient to know my opinions, you’ll know that I’m silly excessive on Brendan Bailey. Need to know why?
Have a look at this.
When he was within the sport, Bailey was not used a lot in any respect. Solely 5.eight% of gamers within the nation had a decrease utilization than him whereas on the court docket, really. However when he obtained the ball and determined to go he confirmed flashes of a star within the making. He completely was not good, and I’ll get to that in a minute, however the best way he completed the 12 months actually made it seem to be issues have been beginning to click on for him. That final clip reveals how a lot of a nightmare he may be even on defenders smaller than him. Holding them sincere with a extra constant shot might make him lethal.
Talking of which, in that beforehand talked about 5 video games stretch, Bailey shot 38.9% from deep after. Within the closed door scrimmage towards Indiana, he made four of his 6 makes an attempt from behind the arc. I KNOW that the pattern dimension is small and I KNOW his season-long proportion was 25%, however bearing in mind his day without work for the mission and the leap gamers usually take between their freshman and sophomore years, it’s value a a lot nearer look. He doesn’t should be a sniper to change into a weapon, however it might add one other stage to his sport if he can bump his three level accuracy to 35%, and it actually does appear cheap.
The most important space of want for the crew coming into the 12 months is discovering gamers to take higher care of the ball. Marquette barely scraped the highest 250 in turnover price price final 12 months and desires constant offensive gamers who don’t cough the ball up. Bailey has the makings of a type of gamers. His season excessive for turnovers in a sport final 12 months was 1. The primary difficulty that will come to thoughts when describing a freshman with a two 12 months hole from basketball can be carelessness with the ball. This wasn’t a problem that plagued the freshman final 12 months and there’s no cause to imagine it should this 12 months.
On protection he can guard each single place. Sure all of them. Facilities like Nate Reuvers from Wisconsin, Luka Brajkovic from Davidson, Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree from Villanova, Sandro Mamukelashvili from Seton Corridor, and the tall scarecrow that Creighton decides to place beneath the basket in lieu of the injury-riddled Jacob Epperson are all guys that Bailey’s size can actually disrupt. He’s additionally fast sufficient to maintain up with smaller guards, and even when he isn’t his restoration abilities are excellent and may make up for any miscues. He’s a Swiss Military Knife that will be the right slot in a protection that already boasts guys like Greg Elliott, Theo John, Ed Morrow and Sacar Anim. Though Markus Howard shows sufficient effort to make himself a midway first rate defender, placing guys round him to make up for the dearth of dimension can put the protection on a stage not but seen within the Wojo period.
To summarize all that rambling, I feel Brendan Bailey shall be First Group All Huge East this 12 months.
Clearly there’s a situation wherein he’s not First Group All Huge East. Even perhaps many situations. I’m absolutely conscious of how daring that prediction is and I’m not blind to the explanations it may not occur. The event between freshman and sophomore 12 months is an important leap a university participant could make, as the expansion in subsequent years in a lot much less pronounced, on common. It may by no means be assumed that something not proven persistently in earlier years will now be prone to occur. Take into consideration the quantity of occasions nationwide media members started a sentence with, “When Ethan Happ learns tips on how to shoot…” It’s not simple to take an offensive sport to the following stage, and there’s a really actual probability that Brendan Bailey doesn’t shoot higher than 25% from deep subsequent 12 months.
Have a look at this.
Sure it’s a freshman mistake and sure it’s the kind of non-Markus aggressiveness the crew wanted on the finish of final 12 months, however this shot was fully out of rhythm with out his ft being set. There are quite a few different examples even throughout his Good Stretch wherein he catches the ball with out his ft being set and hoists it up with out transferring stated ft. There have been a ton of airballs and rim grazers that good shooters don’t do.
On protection, the identical rules apply. Whereas his flooring remains to be “Above Common Defender” and he can sustain with smaller guards, typically he simply…didn’t.
Have a look at this.
Mustapha Heron simply waltzed proper previous him to get the simple bucket plus a foul. Brendan’s response time was by no means the best factor on the earth and whereas the size makes it simpler to recuperate, it’d be neat to not must within the first place.
Any hiccups are additionally going to be seemed beneath a microscope from the teaching workers. The schedule picks up shortly and if the freshman-sophomore leap doesn’t occur shortly, Wojo won’t hesitate to present a mixture of Ed Morrow and Theo John minutes on the four to present Jayce Johnson extra of an opportunity to indicate his value. If Bailey doesn’t react effectively to that kind of strain, any flaws may very well be made worse.
So I wrote the preview on Brendan firstly of the 12 months as a part of my marketing campaign of predicting he can be First Group All Huge East by the 12 months’s finish. I absolutely realized the boldness of that take and the robust risk of it not taking place. My reasoning for this take was a mixture of the next:
- A predication that Koby McEwen can be a nonviable complement to Markus Howard offensively, thus leaving the door open for Bailey to grab the accessible alternative.
- His established defensive presence as a freshman being vaulted by his even greater ceiling in addition to an opportunity for extra enjoying time.
- A scorching stretch of out of doors capturing on the finish of the 2018-2019 season that would carry momentum by way of the offseason. Coupled with an underrated capacity to complete on the rim, he might change into a deadly offensive participant.
- An assumption that his restricted offensive aggression would leap merely as a result of he was in his sophomore season and thus absolutely reacclimated to excessive stage competitors.
If we’re holding tabs, two of these predictions have been right. Regardless of just a few #KrunchTimeKoby moments, McEwen’s manufacturing for the season was poor total and the door for Brendan was extensive open. Bailey’s capturing additionally improved dramatically, as he was a 38% shooter from deep on 120 makes an attempt, tied for third most on the crew and solely 5 behind second place Sacar Anim. Sadly, his protection took a flip for the more severe and he was a frustratingly passive participant on offense, which you’ll be able to see from his mere 72 makes an attempt contained in the arc whereas averaging a couple of offensive rebound per sport. You’d wish to suppose that 39 offensive rebounds on the season would lead to much more than 72 two level makes an attempt merely by alternatives accessible, however right here we’re.
The story of the 2020 Marquette season shall be informed with the straightforward assertion that Markus Howard, who contains 20% of the gamers on the court docket when he’s enjoying, took 40% of the crew’s pictures throughout these minutes. Markus earned each single a type of pictures, nevertheless it’s no option to construct a profitable crew. Brendan specifically had a golden alternative to take an enormous step ahead offensively to emerge as greater than a job participant, however he discovered himself hidden within the deep nook far too typically.
There’s nonetheless a ton of upside to his sport, so this isn’t supposed as me ragging on him within the slightest. I used to be personally hoping for his three level shot to be a weapon for defenders to remain sincere towards him, and he made himself one of the best shooter on subsequent 12 months’s crew. His ending capacity one way or the other improved as effectively, which was almost inconceivable since he shot 73.5% across the basket as a freshman. That obtained bumped as much as 81.three% in his sophomore marketing campaign. These percentages would have me frothing on the mouth if it weren’t for the quantity of mid vary jumpers he took.
For a man of Bailey’s peak and physique management, to have the ability to cease on a dime and pull up on the free throw line is an extremely beneficial talent. The issue was that he doesn’t have this talent but. The quantity of his pictures that have been neither three nor makes an attempt on the rim greater than doubled between his first and second seasons whereas his makes an attempt on the rim really decreased in that point. The midrange jumpers don’t actually have a 25% success price over his first two years. Most of those pictures would come as the results of settling for a non-risky try when he had a driving lane with some resistance and it’s simply not there but. Brendan would massively profit from utilizing these alternatives to aggressively push to the basket and work by way of contact. As bizarre because it feels to say within the context of the crew’s make-up, Bailey’s low turnover price tells me that he must be taking extra dangers contained in the three level arc.
On protection, I nonetheless imagine that he has an elite capacity to recuperate from errors with out fouling. He makes use of his size splendidly and disrupts pictures on the run in addition to anybody that I’ve seen. The place I feel I overestimated him was within the footspeed space. After I requested you all to price Brendan’s defensive skills a month in the past, Bailey’s efficient quickness was barely rated forward of the three bigs and it most likely ought to’ve been decrease than that. Theo John and Ed Morrow have been at the least ready to make use of their dimension to remain in entrance of would-be drivers. John specifically was in a position to persistently achieve success on switches throughout the residence win towards Villanova, the place he smothered each wing he encountered that attempted to reap the benefits of his presence outdoors the paint. Bailey simply didn’t have the response time essential to hold him in entrance of fellows smaller than him.
A part of this wrestle was on account of his position. I feel the teaching workers had excessive hopes for him as a versatile defender who can tackle any project. This led to him getting switched onto guys that he simply wasn’t prepared for and easy crossovers would result in open drivings lanes. With an ensemble of athletic bigs coming into the fold subsequent 12 months, the assignments received’t get simpler as he and Jamal Cain battle for minutes on the three spot.
It’s humorous how Brendan’s greatest sport contained what I might think about is his least favourite moments. When Marquette misplaced at residence in time beyond regulation to Windfall, it was a horrible loss to a crew that, on the time, appeared to have virtually no shot on the match on account of a wretched non convention efficiency. The Friars ended up enjoying their approach into a probable match spot by the tip of convention play, so the results of this sport seems slightly rosier over time.
The sport, as most have been, was carried by Markus Howard. He ended up with 39 factors with round his season common in offensive ranking (112.5 that night time) and total utilization (41.eight). Ho hum. The large difficulty this night was each Sacar Anim and Koby McEwen enjoying dreadfully. They completed with a mixed 14 factors on 5-for-21 capturing. Marquette desperately wanted actually anybody else to step into the fray, and Bailey did. It was certainly one of his greatest capturing nights of the 12 months, hitting 4 of his six lengthy pictures, together with one which tied the sport in time beyond regulation with a minute left.
There have been two sport altering moments that the sophomore obtained the quick finish of the stick on. On the finish of regulation, Marquette was up three and head coach Steve Wojciechowski determined to not foul. AJ Reeves had a display screen set for him and Brendan fought by way of it completely to contest the try and stick a hand within the shooter’s face. It went in, however had it not gone in we’d’ve talked about how his drive on protection saved the sport.
Then with 4 seconds left in time beyond regulation, Bailey obtained fouled on a 3 level try needing to sink all three makes an attempt to maintain the sport going. He solely made two of them, so it’d be pure for him accountable himself for the loss. The fact was that he stored them within the sport over the earlier 44 minutes and alter. His 19 environment friendly factors greater than made up for the tough efficiency put forth by the opposite guards on the crew. We have a tendency to take a look at the variations between wins and losses being decided by what goes on within the ultimate seconds, however each level is scored equally.
So Bailey didn’t flip into the star I predicted him to be, which is likely to be unfair on my half. Each former top-100 recruit can change into one of many 5 greatest gamers of their respective conferences in the event you squint arduous sufficient, however there are solely so many spots on these all-star groups. The one cause the sunshine is shining brightest on Thurl Bailey’s son is how desperately the crew wanted secondary manufacturing alongside Howard and he was essentially the most able to taking that position. The irritating half about that’s the way it looks as if the one factor stopping him from turning into that star is a insecurity in his capacity. With the position he ended up taking, he was first rate. I might categorize his defensive manufacturing this 12 months as “dangerous”, however he had the second greatest offensive ranking on the crew. That’s objectively useful to the crew. The issue was that he was certainly one of many on the crew that appeared to take the most secure position.
With that in thoughts, I can’t absolutely grade him on the dimensions of my very own preseason expectations, as a result of they have been admittedly excessive. I can also’t absolutely grade him on the position he made for himself, as a result of I feel he might’ve finished far more along with his skillset. In a mushy mixture of the 2, I’m giving him a four/10.